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Wednesday, October 25, 2000


Today's report from Web Editor Susan Rush

AT&T: Split Personalities; Earnings Drop Off
Nortel Takes A Hit On Wall Street 
DSL Pushes Forward Despite Tech Glitches 
Is A Chip Slowdown Coming?
Broadband Briefs

AT&T: Split Personalities; Earnings Drop Off

Well, it's official, AT&T will split into four separate companies, but it looks like Wall Street is still frowning on Ma Bell. Following the spin-off announcement, a lackluster earnings report for the fiscal third quarter and forecasts of further sluggishness in the coming year, AT&T shares continued to drop this morning, down more than 9 percent to $24.44 during early trading. And in what has become typical treatment by Wall Street, Merrill Lynch analyst Adam Quinton downgraded AT&T's intermediate-term stock rating to an "accumulate" from a "buy."

AT&T reports third quarter earnings 35 cents a share, compared to 50 cents a share during the same period a year ago. Pro forma revenue during the quarter increased 3.7 percent to $16.97 billion, up from $16.33 billion for Q3 1999. The bump in revenue was sparked by the performances of the broadband, wireless and business services units. These units are performing -- AT&T Broadband for example, saw a 10.8 percent increase in revenue -- so it's not surprising that when the decision was made to split up the company, these units were tagged to lead the independent charge. 

The four new companies, which will still operate under the AT&T brand, are: AT&T Broadband, AT&T Wireless, AT&T Business and AT&T Consumer. Each spin-off will become a publicly held company, trading as a common stock or a trading stock. The units will continue to bundle each other's services through inter-company agreements, according to an AT&T statement. The restructuring is expected to be complete in 2002.

Related Stories:
It's OK To Spin Off, BroadbandWeek Direct, 10/24/00
AT&T: And Four Stand Alone
, BroadbandWeek Direct, 10/23/00

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Nortel Takes A Hit On Wall Street

Nortel Networks' shares took a tumble today, down $17.00 to $46.31, after third quarter sales fell short of some analysts' expectations. Revenue for the quarter totaled $7.31 billion, up from $5.15 billion a year earlier, but analysts were anticipating sales of more than $7.50 billion. 

Nortel president and chief executive John Roth says that the company makes "no apologies" for a 42 percent increase in sales and that despite people's wishes, he doubts that the company can maintain 150 percent growth rates forever. Nortel's optical equipment system sales jumped 90 percent during the quarter, but analysts expected sales to at least double. The company expects revenue and earnings per share from operations to grow between 30 and 35 percent in 2001.

Stock market investors seem to be a little jittering these days, and as a leader in optical networking gear Nortel's disappointment caused a trickle effect in the fiber-optic industry, with many companies in both the fiber optic and networking business suffering a stock backlash today. JDS Uniphase fell $16.88 to $78.19; SDL, a JDS recent acquisition, plunged $54.84 to $261.14; Ciena dropped $20.88 to $114.50; and even Cisco Systems took a slight hit, falling $1.94 to $52.94. 

Related Story:
Nortel, Lucent Push Broadband Content Move, Multichannel News, 4/10/00

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DSL Pushes Forward Despite Tech Glitches

DSL subscribers will surpass 23 million worldwide by 2004, despite technical deficiencies, according to a new report from Cahners In-Stat, a sister company to Broadband Week. Players in the DSL arena are working hard to overcome DSL's shortcomings, including reach, spectral compatibility and availability, and this hard work will most likely pay off for CLECs and ILECs.

The "DSL Market Analysis" report findings include Asymmetrical DSL remaining the "flavor" of choice in more than 70 markets through 2004. The United States will continue its DSL dominance, but regions like Asia/Pacific will continue to grow. The report also examines DSL market drivers and competitors.

Despite the positive growth expected for the DSL market, competition is fierce in the broadband sector and DSL providers must stay on top of their game.  "It's critical that DSL service providers and equipment manufacturers continue to work in the best interests of the industry in terms of making DSL readily available to everyone," explains Mike Lowe, senior analyst for In-Stat's Advanced Carriers Service. "In the face of competition, end users won't wait for DSL to get its act together."

Related Stories:
Report: Baby Bells In DSL Driver's Seat, BroadbandWeek Direct, 8/8/00
DSL Is On The Rise
, BroadbandWeek Direct, 7/25/00

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Is A Chip Slowdown Coming?

Growth is continuing in the semiconductor industry, but the trade group Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International warns that a chip slowdown may be on its way.

The group reports semiconductor equipment makers posted a 16 percent increase, a book-to-bill ratio of 1.16, in orders during the month of September, but that number is down from the previous month's book-to-bill ratio of 1.23. In a statement, SEMI said the decrease may just be "a seasonal slowing in new orders," but some analysts feel otherwise. One analyst from Chase H&Q advised a "wait-and-see" strategy for the industry.  If the downturn continues, the chip makers may need to react, but for now, manufacturers will "wait-and-see."

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Broadband Briefs: 

  • Excite@Home Corp. reports a third quarter net loss of $668.7 million, or $1.67 a share, compared with a loss of $498.6 million, or $1.37 a share during the same period a year ago. The company added 510,000 new subscribers to its high-speed Internet access over cable lines service during the quarter, bringing its total subscriber base to 2.3 million. Excite has goal of reaching 3 million subscribers by year's end. 
  • Nokia lands a contract to supply equipment for a high-speed Internet access service in China. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.
  • Cisco Systems wins approval from the San Jose city council to build a $1.3 billion corporate campus in Coyote Valley.
  • Telewest Communications tabs Motorola Broadband and Marconi to provide a trial end-to-end Voice over Internet Protocol to be used over Telewest's broadband cable network.
  • Qwest Communications expands its broadband access service to businesses in four Texas markets: Austin, Dallas/Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio.
  • Fixed broadband wireless Internet access system provider Hybrid Networks reports net sales for the third quarter of $5.5 million, up from $3.3 million for Q3 1999. The company shipped $12.3 million worth of systems and related services, compared to $4.9 million during the same period a year ago.
  • New Edge Networks is now offering DSL service to businesses and residential customers in Kansas. The service is launching first in Wichita, and will expanded to reach El Dorado, Hutchinson, Lawrence, Manhattan, Salina and Topeka.
  • America Online and Time Warner have reportedly spent $3.8 million lobbying Congress and the executive branch in an effort to win approval for their $135 billion merger, according to circulating news reports.

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